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The Shape of Intelligence

'Pause Giant AI Experiments'

An open letter signed by Musk, Wozniak, Bengio and 30,000 others calls for a six-month halt to training systems beyond GPT-4; nobody pauses, and everyone talks about it.

category
culture
significance
2 of 5
people
Yoshua Bengio, Elon Musk, Max Tegmark, Stuart Russell
organisations
Future of Life Institute

what had to happen · 52 events back to 1943

Every event this one built on, transitively, in order. Direct influences are marked.

VI · Everyone · 3

  1. 2022InstructGPT
  2. 2022ChatGPT
  3. 2023GPT-4direct

Eight days after GPT-4, the Future of Life Institute published a letter asking all laboratories to pause, for at least six months, the training of any system more powerful than it. "Should we develop nonhuman minds that might eventually outnumber, outsmart, obsolete and replace us?" it asked, and proposed that the pause be used to build shared safety protocols audited by outside experts. Yoshua Bengio, Stuart Russell, Elon Musk, Steve Wozniak and the historian Yuval Noah Harari signed; by the summer the count passed 33,000.

No laboratory paused, and several signatories said they had not expected any to. Musk announced his own laboratory, xAI, in July. The letter's real effect was on the conversation: it put the words "existential risk" into every newsroom, it was followed in May by a one-sentence statement from the Center for AI Safety, signed by the heads of OpenAI, DeepMind and Anthropic, that the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority, and it framed the hearings, summits and executive orders of the rest of the year.

Critics, including the authors of the stochastic-parrots paper, argued that the letter's science-fiction framing distracted from harms already happening. That argument, between long-term and present risk, organised the safety debate for the next two years.

what it led to · 7 events downstream, through 2026

Built on it directly:

  1. 2023The US executive order on AIVI
  2. 2023The Bletchley DeclarationVI

And, through them, by era:

sources · 1

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