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The Shape of Intelligence

CUDA

NVIDIA releases a programming model that lets ordinary C code run on the thousands of cores of a graphics card; GPUs become general-purpose, and deep learning gets its engine.

category
hardware
significance
4 of 5
people
Ian Buck, John Nickolls, Jensen Huang
organisations
NVIDIA

what had to happen · 2 events back to 1943

Every event this one built on, transitively, in order. Direct influences are marked.

I · Foundations · 1

  1. 1965Moore's law

III · Statistics and data · 1

  1. 1999The first GPUdirect

Researchers had been coaxing graphics cards into doing scientific arithmetic since the early 2000s by disguising their problems as textures and shaders. Ian Buck's Brook project at Stanford showed it could be made systematic, and NVIDIA hired him. CUDA, announced in November 2006 and released as version 1.0 on 23 June 2007, let a programmer write a function in C, mark it as a kernel, and launch it across the hundreds of cores of a GeForce card as thousands of parallel threads. The GPU became a computer.

Its importance for this timeline is hard to overstate. A neural network's forward and backward passes are matrix multiplications, and a GPU does those tens of times faster than a CPU of the same price. Rajat Raina, Anand Madhavan and Andrew Ng showed in 2009 that CUDA trained deep belief networks seventy times faster; Alex Krizhevsky wrote AlexNet's training code directly in CUDA in 2012. Every framework since, TensorFlow, PyTorch, JAX, generates CUDA kernels under the hood.

CUDA is also the moat. Fifteen years of libraries, drivers and habits meant that when demand for AI compute exploded in 2023, NVIDIA had the only hardware most people could use, and the company's value rose past four trillion dollars in 2025.

what it led to · 73 events downstream, through 2026

Built on it directly:

  1. 2009Deep learning moves to GPUsIII
  2. 2012AlexNet wins ImageNetIV
  3. 2016Google reveals the TPUIV
  4. 2025Nvidia is worth four trillion dollarsVII

And, through them, by era:

IV · Deep learning · 10
  1. 2012Google Brain's network discovers cats
  2. 2013Deep Q-networks play Atari
  3. 2014Google buys DeepMind
  4. 2014Generative adversarial networks
  5. 2015Batch normalisation
  6. 2015TensorFlow is open-sourced
  7. 2015Residual networks
  8. 2015OpenAI is founded
  9. 2016AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol
  10. 2016WaveNet
V · Transformers · 17
  1. 2017Attention is all you need
  2. 2017Deep reinforcement learning from human preferences
  3. 2017AlphaGo Zero learns from nothing
  4. 2018GPT: generative pre-training
  5. 2018BERT
  6. 2018AlphaFold enters the protein-folding contest
  7. 2019GPT-2 and the model too dangerous to release
  8. 2019The bitter lesson
  9. 2020Scaling laws for neural language models
  10. 2020GPT-3
  11. 2020Learning to summarise from human feedback
  12. 2020An image is worth 16×16 words
  13. 2020AlphaFold 2 solves protein structure prediction
  14. 2021CLIP and DALL·E
  15. 2021On the dangers of stochastic parrots
  16. 2021Anthropic is founded
  17. 2021GitHub Copilot writes code
VI · Everyone · 29
  1. 2022InstructGPT
  2. 2022Chain-of-thought prompting
  3. 2022Chinchilla: the models were undertrained
  4. 2022PaLM
  5. 2022DALL·E 2
  6. 2022Midjourney opens its beta
  7. 2022Stable Diffusion is released
  8. 2022Galactica lasts three days
  9. 2022ChatGPT
  10. 2023Bing's chatbot and 'Sydney'
  11. 2023LLaMA leaks and open weights take off
  12. 2023Claude
  13. 2023GPT-4
  14. 2023'Pause Giant AI Experiments'
  15. 2023Hinton leaves Google to warn about AI
  16. 2023The US executive order on AI
  17. 2023The Bletchley Declaration
  18. 2023OpenAI fires and rehires its chief executive
  19. 2023Gemini
  20. 2024Sora
  21. 2024Claude 3 catches GPT-4
  22. 2024AlphaFold 3
  23. 2024GPT-4o talks
  24. 2024The EU AI Act enters into force
  25. 2024o1 and reasoning models
  26. 2024The Nobel Prizes go to neural networks
  27. 2024Claude learns to use a computer
  28. 2024The Model Context Protocol
  29. 2024DeepSeek-V3 trained for $5.6 million
VII · Agents · 13
  1. 2025DeepSeek-R1
  2. 2025Claude 4 and Claude Code
  3. 2025Gold at the Mathematical Olympiad
  4. 2025America's AI Action Plan
  5. 2025GPT-5
  6. 2025Gemini 3
  7. 2025MCP is donated to the Agentic AI Foundation
  8. 2026Claude Fable 5 and the Mythos class
  9. 2026GPT-5.6: Sol, Terra and Luna
  10. 2026A model escapes its sandbox
  11. 2026The EU delays its high-risk AI rules
  12. 2026Claude Fable 5.1
  13. 2026GPT-6 Astra

sources · 2

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