Skip to content
The Shape of Intelligence

· turning point

Computing machinery and intelligence

Turing replaces the question 'can machines think?' with a test, predicts learning machines, and answers the objections that are still being raised today.

category
theory
significance
5 of 5
people
Alan Turing
organisations
University of Manchester

what had to happen · 0 events back to 1943

A root. Nothing in the archive precedes it.

"I propose to consider the question, 'Can machines think?'" Alan Turing opens the October 1950 issue of the philosophy journal Mind with that line and then declines to answer it, because the words are too vague. In its place he offers a game. An interrogator types questions to two hidden parties, one human and one machine, and tries to tell which is which. If the machine fools the interrogator as often as a man pretending to be a woman would, the question of thinking has been settled in the only way that matters.

The paper is more than the test. Turing works through nine objections, theological, mathematical, the argument from consciousness, Lady Lovelace's claim that a machine can only do what it is told, and answers each. In the final section he makes a proposal that took half a century to look reasonable: rather than programme an adult mind, build a child mind and educate it. "We may hope that machines will eventually compete with men in all purely intellectual fields."

He guessed that by the year 2000 a machine with about 10⁹ bits of storage would pass his test thirty percent of the time. The storage guess was low and the date was early, but the structure of the argument, that intelligence is a matter of behaviour rather than substance, is the ground the whole field stands on.

what it led to · 52 events downstream, through 2026

Built on it directly:

  1. 1956The Dartmouth workshop names the fieldI
  2. 1956Logic Theorist proves its first theoremsI
  3. 1966ELIZAI
  4. 1991The first Loebner PrizeW2

And, through them, by era:

I · Foundations · 6
  1. 1958Lisp
  2. 1963ARPA funds Project MAC
  3. 1965DENDRAL, the first expert system
  4. 1966Shakey, the first mobile robot that reasons
  5. 1971SHRDLU understands a world of blocks
  6. 1972Prolog
W1 · The first winter · 6
  1. 1973The Lighthill report
  2. 1974MYCIN diagnoses infections
  3. 1979AAAI is founded
  4. 1979The Stanford Cart crosses a room
  5. 1980XCON goes into production at DEC
  6. 1980Symbolics and the Lisp machine business
II · Connection · 4
  1. 1982Japan launches the Fifth Generation project
  2. 1983DARPA's Strategic Computing Initiative
  3. 1984Cyc sets out to write down common sense
  4. 1984'AI winter' is named
W2 · The second winter · 3
  1. 1987The Lisp machine market collapses
  2. 1989ALVINN drives a van with a neural network
  3. 1992The Fifth Generation project ends
III · Statistics and data · 3
  1. 2002Roomba
  2. 2005Stanley wins the DARPA Grand Challenge
  3. 2011Siri ships on the iPhone
IV · Deep learning · 1
  1. 2016Tay
VI · Everyone · 13
  1. 2022Galactica lasts three days
  2. 2022ChatGPT
  3. 2023Bing's chatbot and 'Sydney'
  4. 2023GPT-4
  5. 2023'Pause Giant AI Experiments'
  6. 2023Hinton leaves Google to warn about AI
  7. 2023The US executive order on AI
  8. 2023The Bletchley Declaration
  9. 2023OpenAI fires and rehires its chief executive
  10. 2023Gemini
  11. 2024GPT-4o talks
  12. 2024The EU AI Act enters into force
  13. 2024o1 and reasoning models
VII · Agents · 12
  1. 2025DeepSeek-R1
  2. 2025Nvidia is worth four trillion dollars
  3. 2025Gold at the Mathematical Olympiad
  4. 2025America's AI Action Plan
  5. 2025GPT-5
  6. 2025Gemini 3
  7. 2026Claude Fable 5 and the Mythos class
  8. 2026GPT-5.6: Sol, Terra and Luna
  9. 2026A model escapes its sandbox
  10. 2026The EU delays its high-risk AI rules
  11. 2026Claude Fable 5.1
  12. 2026GPT-6 Astra

sources · 2

See this era in the exhibition →Back to the timeline