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The Shape of Intelligence

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Perceptrons

Minsky and Papert prove that a single-layer perceptron cannot learn XOR or connectedness; the book is read as a verdict on neural networks and the money leaves.

category
theory
significance
5 of 5
people
Marvin Minsky, Seymour Papert
organisations
Massachusetts Institute of Technology

what had to happen · 3 events back to 1943

Every event this one built on, transitively, in order. Direct influences are marked.

Marvin Minsky and Seymour Papert's Perceptrons is a careful piece of mathematics with a devastating reputation. The book proves what a single layer of Rosenblatt's units can and cannot represent. It cannot compute exclusive-or, the function that is true when exactly one of two inputs is on, because no straight line separates the cases. It cannot tell whether a figure is connected without looking at the whole image at once. These limits are real, and Rosenblatt knew them.

The damage came from the framing. The authors suggested that multi-layer networks, which can represent XOR, would probably be no better, because nobody knew how to train them. That guess was wrong, and the answer, backpropagation, was already in Seppo Linnainmaa's 1970 thesis and Paul Werbos's 1974 one. But funding agencies read the book as a proof that the whole approach was a dead end, and for fifteen years it largely was, in the sense that almost nobody was paid to work on it.

Rosenblatt died in a boating accident in 1971. Minsky and Papert dedicated the 1988 edition to him. The XOR problem became the standard first exercise for every student of neural networks, because a two-layer net solves it in seconds, and the lesson it teaches is about what a proof of limits does and does not show.

what it led to · 99 events downstream, through 2026

Built on it directly:

  1. 1973The Lighthill reportW1
  2. 1986BackpropagationII
  3. 1989The universal approximation theoremW2

And, through them, by era:

II · Connection · 3
  1. 1984'AI winter' is named
  2. 1987NETtalk learns to read aloud
  3. 1987The first NIPS conference
W2 · The second winter · 5
  1. 1989ALVINN drives a van with a neural network
  2. 1989LeNet reads handwritten postcodes
  3. 1990Finding structure in time
  4. 1991The vanishing gradient problem
  5. 1992TD-Gammon reaches world-class backgammon
III · Statistics and data · 9
  1. 1997Long short-term memory
  2. 1998MNIST and LeNet-5
  3. 2003A neural probabilistic language model
  4. 2005Stanley wins the DARPA Grand Challenge
  5. 2006Deep belief networks and the word 'deep'
  6. 2009Deep learning moves to GPUs
  7. 2009ImageNet
  8. 2010Rectified linear units
  9. 2010DeepMind is founded
IV · Deep learning · 18
  1. 2012Google Brain's network discovers cats
  2. 2012Dropout
  3. 2012AlexNet wins ImageNet
  4. 2013Word2vec
  5. 2013Deep Q-networks play Atari
  6. 2014Google buys DeepMind
  7. 2014Generative adversarial networks
  8. 2014Attention
  9. 2014Sequence to sequence learning
  10. 2014Adam
  11. 2015Batch normalisation
  12. 2015TensorFlow is open-sourced
  13. 2015Residual networks
  14. 2015OpenAI is founded
  15. 2016AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol
  16. 2016Google reveals the TPU
  17. 2016WaveNet
  18. 2016Google Translate goes neural
V · Transformers · 18
  1. 2017Attention is all you need
  2. 2017Deep reinforcement learning from human preferences
  3. 2017AlphaGo Zero learns from nothing
  4. 2018GPT: generative pre-training
  5. 2018BERT
  6. 2018AlphaFold enters the protein-folding contest
  7. 2019GPT-2 and the model too dangerous to release
  8. 2019The bitter lesson
  9. 2019The Turing Award goes to deep learning
  10. 2020Scaling laws for neural language models
  11. 2020GPT-3
  12. 2020Learning to summarise from human feedback
  13. 2020An image is worth 16×16 words
  14. 2020AlphaFold 2 solves protein structure prediction
  15. 2021CLIP and DALL·E
  16. 2021On the dangers of stochastic parrots
  17. 2021Anthropic is founded
  18. 2021GitHub Copilot writes code
VI · Everyone · 29
  1. 2022InstructGPT
  2. 2022Chain-of-thought prompting
  3. 2022Chinchilla: the models were undertrained
  4. 2022PaLM
  5. 2022DALL·E 2
  6. 2022Midjourney opens its beta
  7. 2022Stable Diffusion is released
  8. 2022Galactica lasts three days
  9. 2022ChatGPT
  10. 2023Bing's chatbot and 'Sydney'
  11. 2023LLaMA leaks and open weights take off
  12. 2023Claude
  13. 2023GPT-4
  14. 2023'Pause Giant AI Experiments'
  15. 2023Hinton leaves Google to warn about AI
  16. 2023The US executive order on AI
  17. 2023The Bletchley Declaration
  18. 2023OpenAI fires and rehires its chief executive
  19. 2023Gemini
  20. 2024Sora
  21. 2024Claude 3 catches GPT-4
  22. 2024AlphaFold 3
  23. 2024GPT-4o talks
  24. 2024The EU AI Act enters into force
  25. 2024o1 and reasoning models
  26. 2024The Nobel Prizes go to neural networks
  27. 2024Claude learns to use a computer
  28. 2024The Model Context Protocol
  29. 2024DeepSeek-V3 trained for $5.6 million
VII · Agents · 14
  1. 2025DeepSeek-R1
  2. 2025Claude 4 and Claude Code
  3. 2025Nvidia is worth four trillion dollars
  4. 2025Gold at the Mathematical Olympiad
  5. 2025America's AI Action Plan
  6. 2025GPT-5
  7. 2025Gemini 3
  8. 2025MCP is donated to the Agentic AI Foundation
  9. 2026Claude Fable 5 and the Mythos class
  10. 2026GPT-5.6: Sol, Terra and Luna
  11. 2026A model escapes its sandbox
  12. 2026The EU delays its high-risk AI rules
  13. 2026Claude Fable 5.1
  14. 2026GPT-6 Astra

sources · 2

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