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The Shape of Intelligence

· turning point

Backpropagation

Rumelhart, Hinton and Williams show that multi-layer networks can learn internal representations by propagating errors backwards; Perceptrons is answered.

category
theory
significance
5 of 5
people
David Rumelhart, Geoffrey Hinton, Ronald Williams
organisations
University of California San Diego, Carnegie Mellon University

what had to happen · 7 events back to 1943

Every event this one built on, transitively, in order. Direct influences are marked.

The paper is three pages long and appeared in Nature on 9 October 1986. Its claim is in the title: a network with hidden layers can learn representations, and the way to train it is to compute the error at the output and pass it backwards, layer by layer, using the chain rule, so that every weight in the network receives its share of the blame. The gradient that results is the direction to move, and moving a little at a time is gradient descent. David Rumelhart had worked it out in 1982; Geoffrey Hinton and Ronald Williams helped him make it convincing.

The mathematics was not new. Linnainmaa had the algorithm in 1970 and Werbos had applied it to networks in 1974. What the 1986 paper did was demonstrate, on problems people cared about, that the hidden units learned something interpretable, that the network solved XOR and family-tree relationships and the encoder problems Minsky and Papert had used as evidence of hopelessness. It arrived in the two-volume Parallel Distributed Processing books the same year, and a generation of researchers learned it from there.

Everything in the deep-learning era is trained this way. Convolutional networks, LSTMs, transformers, diffusion models: the architectures differ, and the loss functions differ, but the weights are always set by backpropagation and some variant of gradient descent. Rumelhart died in 2011. Hinton's 2024 Nobel citation begins with this paper.

what it led to · 96 events downstream, through 2026

Built on it directly:

  1. 1987NETtalk learns to read aloudII
  2. 1987The first NIPS conferenceII
  3. 1989ALVINN drives a van with a neural networkW2
  4. 1989The universal approximation theoremW2
  5. 1989LeNet reads handwritten postcodesW2
  6. 1990Finding structure in timeW2
  7. 1991The vanishing gradient problemW2
  8. 1992TD-Gammon reaches world-class backgammonW2
  9. 2003A neural probabilistic language modelIII
  10. 2006Deep belief networks and the word 'deep'III
  11. 2014AdamIV
  12. 2019The Turing Award goes to deep learningV
  13. 2024The Nobel Prizes go to neural networksVI

And, through them, by era:

III · Statistics and data · 7
  1. 1997Long short-term memory
  2. 1998MNIST and LeNet-5
  3. 2005Stanley wins the DARPA Grand Challenge
  4. 2009Deep learning moves to GPUs
  5. 2009ImageNet
  6. 2010Rectified linear units
  7. 2010DeepMind is founded
IV · Deep learning · 17
  1. 2012Google Brain's network discovers cats
  2. 2012Dropout
  3. 2012AlexNet wins ImageNet
  4. 2013Word2vec
  5. 2013Deep Q-networks play Atari
  6. 2014Google buys DeepMind
  7. 2014Generative adversarial networks
  8. 2014Attention
  9. 2014Sequence to sequence learning
  10. 2015Batch normalisation
  11. 2015TensorFlow is open-sourced
  12. 2015Residual networks
  13. 2015OpenAI is founded
  14. 2016AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol
  15. 2016Google reveals the TPU
  16. 2016WaveNet
  17. 2016Google Translate goes neural
V · Transformers · 17
  1. 2017Attention is all you need
  2. 2017Deep reinforcement learning from human preferences
  3. 2017AlphaGo Zero learns from nothing
  4. 2018GPT: generative pre-training
  5. 2018BERT
  6. 2018AlphaFold enters the protein-folding contest
  7. 2019GPT-2 and the model too dangerous to release
  8. 2019The bitter lesson
  9. 2020Scaling laws for neural language models
  10. 2020GPT-3
  11. 2020Learning to summarise from human feedback
  12. 2020An image is worth 16×16 words
  13. 2020AlphaFold 2 solves protein structure prediction
  14. 2021CLIP and DALL·E
  15. 2021On the dangers of stochastic parrots
  16. 2021Anthropic is founded
  17. 2021GitHub Copilot writes code
VI · Everyone · 28
  1. 2022InstructGPT
  2. 2022Chain-of-thought prompting
  3. 2022Chinchilla: the models were undertrained
  4. 2022PaLM
  5. 2022DALL·E 2
  6. 2022Midjourney opens its beta
  7. 2022Stable Diffusion is released
  8. 2022Galactica lasts three days
  9. 2022ChatGPT
  10. 2023Bing's chatbot and 'Sydney'
  11. 2023LLaMA leaks and open weights take off
  12. 2023Claude
  13. 2023GPT-4
  14. 2023'Pause Giant AI Experiments'
  15. 2023Hinton leaves Google to warn about AI
  16. 2023The US executive order on AI
  17. 2023The Bletchley Declaration
  18. 2023OpenAI fires and rehires its chief executive
  19. 2023Gemini
  20. 2024Sora
  21. 2024Claude 3 catches GPT-4
  22. 2024AlphaFold 3
  23. 2024GPT-4o talks
  24. 2024The EU AI Act enters into force
  25. 2024o1 and reasoning models
  26. 2024Claude learns to use a computer
  27. 2024The Model Context Protocol
  28. 2024DeepSeek-V3 trained for $5.6 million
VII · Agents · 14
  1. 2025DeepSeek-R1
  2. 2025Claude 4 and Claude Code
  3. 2025Nvidia is worth four trillion dollars
  4. 2025Gold at the Mathematical Olympiad
  5. 2025America's AI Action Plan
  6. 2025GPT-5
  7. 2025Gemini 3
  8. 2025MCP is donated to the Agentic AI Foundation
  9. 2026Claude Fable 5 and the Mythos class
  10. 2026GPT-5.6: Sol, Terra and Luna
  11. 2026A model escapes its sandbox
  12. 2026The EU delays its high-risk AI rules
  13. 2026Claude Fable 5.1
  14. 2026GPT-6 Astra

sources · 3

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