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The Shape of Intelligence

Sequence to sequence learning

Sutskever, Vinyals and Le show that a large LSTM can translate English to French end to end, with no linguistic pipeline; text-in, text-out becomes the shape of the field.

category
theory
significance
4 of 5
people
Ilya Sutskever, Oriol Vinyals, Quoc Le
organisations
Google

what had to happen · 12 events back to 1943

Every event this one built on, transitively, in order. Direct influences are marked.

Machine translation in 2014 was a pipeline of statistical components, alignment, phrase tables, reordering, language models, engineered over twenty years. Ilya Sutskever, Oriol Vinyals and Quoc Le at Google replaced it with one network. An LSTM read the English sentence and produced a vector; a second LSTM read the vector and wrote the French, one word at a time. Trained on twelve million sentence pairs, four layers deep, with a trick of reversing the input so the beginnings of both sentences were close together, it matched the best phrase-based system on the WMT benchmark and beat it when the two were combined.

Kyunghyun Cho's group had published the same architecture in June; Bahdanau's attention had appeared nine days before Sutskever's preprint. Together the three papers established neural machine translation, and Google replaced its production system with one in 2016.

The larger point was the shape. A sequence goes in, a sequence comes out, and the network learns the mapping from examples: translation, summarisation, question answering, code generation and conversation are all the same problem. Every language model since is a sequence-to-sequence system, and Sutskever's insistence that scale would keep improving it took him to OpenAI as chief scientist the following year.

what it led to · 57 events downstream, through 2026

Built on it directly:

  1. 2016Google Translate goes neuralIV
  2. 2017Attention is all you needV

And, through them, by era:

V · Transformers · 12
  1. 2018GPT: generative pre-training
  2. 2018BERT
  3. 2019GPT-2 and the model too dangerous to release
  4. 2020Scaling laws for neural language models
  5. 2020GPT-3
  6. 2020Learning to summarise from human feedback
  7. 2020An image is worth 16×16 words
  8. 2020AlphaFold 2 solves protein structure prediction
  9. 2021CLIP and DALL·E
  10. 2021On the dangers of stochastic parrots
  11. 2021Anthropic is founded
  12. 2021GitHub Copilot writes code
VI · Everyone · 29
  1. 2022InstructGPT
  2. 2022Chain-of-thought prompting
  3. 2022Chinchilla: the models were undertrained
  4. 2022PaLM
  5. 2022DALL·E 2
  6. 2022Midjourney opens its beta
  7. 2022Stable Diffusion is released
  8. 2022Galactica lasts three days
  9. 2022ChatGPT
  10. 2023Bing's chatbot and 'Sydney'
  11. 2023LLaMA leaks and open weights take off
  12. 2023Claude
  13. 2023GPT-4
  14. 2023'Pause Giant AI Experiments'
  15. 2023Hinton leaves Google to warn about AI
  16. 2023The US executive order on AI
  17. 2023The Bletchley Declaration
  18. 2023OpenAI fires and rehires its chief executive
  19. 2023Gemini
  20. 2024Sora
  21. 2024Claude 3 catches GPT-4
  22. 2024AlphaFold 3
  23. 2024GPT-4o talks
  24. 2024The EU AI Act enters into force
  25. 2024o1 and reasoning models
  26. 2024The Nobel Prizes go to neural networks
  27. 2024Claude learns to use a computer
  28. 2024The Model Context Protocol
  29. 2024DeepSeek-V3 trained for $5.6 million
VII · Agents · 14
  1. 2025DeepSeek-R1
  2. 2025Claude 4 and Claude Code
  3. 2025Nvidia is worth four trillion dollars
  4. 2025Gold at the Mathematical Olympiad
  5. 2025America's AI Action Plan
  6. 2025GPT-5
  7. 2025Gemini 3
  8. 2025MCP is donated to the Agentic AI Foundation
  9. 2026Claude Fable 5 and the Mythos class
  10. 2026GPT-5.6: Sol, Terra and Luna
  11. 2026A model escapes its sandbox
  12. 2026The EU delays its high-risk AI rules
  13. 2026Claude Fable 5.1
  14. 2026GPT-6 Astra

sources · 2

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